“FDI flows and the need for a local presence”

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Rapid-growth markets, and China in particular, will represent the fastest-growing source of final demand over the coming decade.

This will provide additional impetus for firms to locate production in the destination region so they can be responsive.

This suggests that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is likely to be increasingly directed to emerging markets over the coming decade, and that regional supply chains will grow in importance as a result.

More than 67% of companies surveyed as part of Ernst & Young’s Driving improved supply chain results noted that their supply chain is increasingly being developed to service their company’s growth in emerging markets. Despite declining transport costs, distance between markets can still pose a barrier.

Grupo Modelo case study: getting enough containers to Asia

For example, José Parés, Sales and Marketing Vice President of Grupo Modelo, whose export and import brands include Corona, Bud, Carlsberg and Tsingtao beer, noted that with the slowdown in consumption growth in the US, the flow of containers from Asia has declined.

This has presented Grupo Modelo with a challenge in getting enough containers to ship their products to Asia. In response, Grupo Modelo has recently opened a distribution centre in Shanghai to enable it to reach consumers in Asia more effectively.

Risks in creating a local presence

  • Market entry costs commonly underestimated –Creating a local presence with these rapid-growth markets is not without its risks. More than one-third of the companies surveyed for EY’s The Master CFO Series: What lies beneath? underestimated the costs associated with market entry, particularly when looking beyond the BRIC countries into less familiar territories.
  • Time over-runs –Time over-runs were an even bigger problem, with 43% of respondents saying that the investment took more time than they had anticipated.
  • Corruption –Serious corruption problems can also represent risks in many developing economies. For example, Russia’s and Venezuela’s prospects for FDI and growth are hampered by the high perceived levels of corruption. They are ranked within the bottom fifth of countries (those with the highest levels of corruption) according to Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index. Companies should examine the scale of such problems and consider controls and procedures to manage such risks before entering destination countries.

Countries making improvements to business environment

At the same time, many rapid-growth economies are making significant improvements to the operating environment for businesses.

According to the World Bank’s annual Doing Business report, China and India are among the top 40 most improved economies, in terms of creating a favorable regulatory environment for trading and entrepreneurship, since 2005. And one-third of the top 30 most improved economies are from Sub-Saharan Africa.

Source: http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Issues/Business-environment/Trading-places–FDI-flows-and-the-need-for-a-local-presence

“New patterns of trade emerge”

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No longer just a trend, globalization is now the dominant business environment and we are seeing new patterns of trade clearly emerge.

Today, there is a net redistribution of wealth away from the rapid-growth economies — a process accelerated by the financial downturn and the economic recession that it has caused. Companies from those rapid-growth markets are now challenging the giants of the Fortune and Forbes lists.

We are witnessing a surge of investment from west to east, some of it speculative but much of it the result of by individual businesses decisions.

Focusing on west to east misses the important east to east and growing east to west dimension. And centering on flows to India and China misses the far greater increase that is happening within regional blocs closer to home.

World exports

Although global trade collapsed during the financial crisis, it has since bounced back strongly, led by trade among emerging markets.

But what remains unclear is whether the key trends of the past ten years can be expected to extend into the coming decade, or whether the global financial crisis has changed the dynamic of the global economy, resulting in new patterns of international trade.

 

A model of future international trade patterns for the next 10 years

Working with Oxford Economics, we have sought to model the future patterns of international trade for the next 10 years.

The report includes:

  • Changes in geography, supply, sectors
  • The brightest prospects
  • FDI flows and the need for a local presence
  • Global trade growth to become more concentrated

World trade has recovered strongly following the global financial crisis. But rather than a return to business as usual, we are now seeing new patterns of international trade emerge.

Businesses will need to adjust their strategies to reflect the changing patterns of world trade that are developing and are poised to intensify over the next decade.

Source: http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Issues/Business-environment/Trading-places–New-patterns-of-international-trade

Product Issues in International Marketing

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1. Products and Services
Some marketing scholars and professionals tend to draw a strong distinction between conventional products and services, emphasizing service characteristics such as heterogeneity (variation in standards among providers, frequently even among different locations of the same firm), inseparability from consumption, intangibility, and, in some cases, perishability—the idea that a service cannot generally be created during times of slack and be “stored” for use later. However, almost all products have at least some service component—e.g., a warranty, documentation, and distribution—and this service component is an integral part of the product and its positioning. Thus, it may be more useful to look at the product-service continuum as one between very low and very high levels of tangibility of the service.
On the topic of services, cultural issues may be even more prominent than they are for tangible goods. There are large variations in willingness to pay for quality, and often very large differences in expectations. In some countries, it may be more difficult to entice employees to embrace a firm’s customer service philosophy. Labor regulations in some countries make it difficult to terminate employees whose treatment of customers is substandard. Speed of service is typically important in the U.S. and western countries but personal interaction may seem more important in other countries.

2. Product Need Satisfaction
We often take for granted the “obvious” need that products seem to fill in our own culture; however, functions served may be very different in others—for example, while cars have a large transportation role in the U.S., they are impractical to drive in Japan, and thus cars there serve more of a role of being a status symbol or providing for individual indulgence. Thus, it is important to examine through marketing research consumers’ true motives, desires, and expectations in buying a product.

3. Approaches to Product Introduction
Firms face a choice of alternatives in marketing their products across markets. An extreme strategy involves customization, whereby the firm introduces a unique product in each country, usually with the belief tastes differ so much between countries that it is necessary more or less to start from “scratch” in creating a product for each market. On the other extreme, standardization involves making one global product in the belief the same product can be sold across markets without significant modification-in most cases firms will resort to
some kind of adaptation, whereby a common product is modified to some extent when moved between some markets.
There are certain benefits to standardization. Firms that produce a global product can obtain economies of scale in manufacturing, and higher quantities produced also lead to a faster advancement along the experience curve. Further, it is more feasible to establish a global brand as less confusion will occur when consumers travel across countries and see the same product. On the down side, there may be significant differences in desires between cultures and physical environments.

4. Adaptations come in several forms
Mandatory adaptations involve changes that have to be made before the product can be used. “Discretionary” changes are changes that do not have to be made before a product can be introduced (e.g., there is nothing to prevent an American firm from introducing an overly sweet soft drink into the Japanese market), although products may face poor sales if such changes are not made. Discretionary changes may also involve cultural adaptations. Another distinction involves physical product vs. communication adaptations

Discretionary_Adaptations

5. Branding
While Americans seem to be comfortable with category specific brands, this is not the case for Asian consumers. American firms observed that their products would be closely examined by Japanese consumers who could not find a major brand name on the packages, which was required as a sign of quality. Note that Japanese keiretsus span and use their brand name across multiple industries—e.g., Mitsubishi, among other things, sells food, automobiles, electronics, and heavy construction equipment.

Branding

6. The International Product Life Cycle (PLC)
Consumers in different countries differ in the speed with which they adopt new products, in part for economic reasons and in part because of attitudes toward new products.Thus, it may be possible, when one market has been saturated, to continue growth in another market.

7. Diffusion of innovation
Good new innovations often do not spread as quickly as one might expect—e.g., although the technology for microwave ovens has existed since the 1950s, they really did not take off in the United States until the late seventies or early eighties, and their penetration is much lower in most other countries. The typewriter, telephone answering machines, and cellular phones also existed for a long time before they were widely adopted.

Certain characteristics of products make them more or less likely to spread. One factor is relative advantage. Complexity refers to how difficult a new product is to use—e.g., some people have resisted getting computers because learning to use them takes time. Trialability refers to the extent to which one can examine the merits of a new product without having to commit a huge financial or personal investment. Finally, observability refers to the extent to which consumers can readily see others using the product.
At the societal level, several factors influence the spread of an innovation. Not surprisingly, cosmopolitanism, the extent to which a country is connected to other cultures, is useful. Innovations are more likely to spread where there is a higher percentage of women in the work force; these women both have more economic power and are able to see other people use the products and/or discuss them. Modernity refers to the extent to which a culture values “progress.” In the U.S., “new and improved” is considered highly attractive; in more traditional countries, their potential for disruption cause new products to be seen with more skepticism. Although U.S. consumers appear to adopt new products more quickly than those of other countries, we actually score lower on homiphily, the extent to which consumers are relatively similar to each other, and physical distance, where consumers who are more spread out are less likely to interact with other users of the product. Japan, which ranks second only to the U.S., on the other hand, scores very well on these latter two factors.

The Father of Containerization!

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World Trade | Education | Videos

This post is dedicated to the Father of Containerization – Malcolm McLean. At the age of 24 he was frustrated the way stuff moved from one place to another. It wasted a lot of his time. Got back and designed, what we see today as containers traveling around the world. He faced a lot of crticism, well the critics didn’t know that they could get that Cheese from France at a cheaper price then, did they?

How Containerization shaped the modern world

– Sir Harold Evans

TedEd talks is an exciting initiative for all of us to learn and share whatever information we have regarding the topic.  You can learn further about this topic here – http://ed.ted.com/lessons/how-containerization-shaped-the-modern-world

Boundary Focus – China & India

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The image below represents two giants of the future. Their market in the future is going to define the trade industry. The world better look out. Here is a quick snippet of what you can expect.

Capture

Reference – EY report

Design – Prezi and Photoshop

THE SALIENT FEATURES OF THE FOREIGN TRADE ACT 1992

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  • It has empowered the Central Government to make provisions for development and regulation of Foreign trade by facilitating imports into, and augmenting exports from India and for all matters connected therewith or incidental there to.
  • The Central Government can prohibit, restrict and regulate exports and imports, in all or specified cases as well as subject them to exemptions.
  • It authorizes the Central Government to formulate and announce an Export and Import policy and also amend the same from time to time, by notification in the Official Gazette.
  • It provides for the appointment of a Director General of Foreign trade by the Central Government for the purpose of the Act. He shall advise Central Government in formulating export and import policy and implementing the policy.
  • Under the Act, every importer and exporter must obtain a Importer Exporter code number (IEC) from Director General of Foreign trade or from the authorized officer.
  • The Director General or any other officer so authorized can suspend or cancel a licence issued for export or import of goods in accordance with the Act. But he does it after giving the licence holder a reasonable opportunity of being heard.
  • As per the provisions of the Act , the Government of India formulates and announces an Export and Import policy (EXIM policy) and amends it from time to time. EXIM policy refers to the policy measures adopted by a country with reference to its exports and imports. Such a policy become particularly important in a country like India, where the import and export of items plays a crucial role not just in balancing budgetary targets, but also in the over all economic development of the country.

http://business.gov.in/legal_aspects/import_export.php

SOCIAL NETWORKS ARE CHANGING CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR

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When making consumer decisions, Germans place just as much weight on information from social media as on information from the TV; they accord less importance to information from the radio. On average, just under 8% of Germans’ purchases are influenced by social networks. This was the conclusion of the German Social Media Consumer Report 2012/2013, a study by the University of Münster and Roland Berger Strategy Consultants. The study provides a representative overview of the demographics and usage habits of German social media users and, for the first time, assesses the relevance of social networks to buying products. Professor Thorsten Hennig-Thurau of the Marketing Center Münster says, “We are observing the rise of a new generation of savvy media consumers in Germany.”

Germans’ usage of social media has fundamentally changed. Regardless of age, education, income or place of residence, social networks are now being used intensively and as a matter of course by all sections of German society. On average, every German is registered on three social networks; just 7% of Internet users do not use any social networks at all. For the first time, researchers from the University of Münster, in collaboration with the international strategy consultancy Roland Berger, have calculated a Social Media Index. This index analyzes how intensively German consumers use social networks, in other words how many social networks each German uses, and how often. According to the index, northern Germans score 7.8 on the index and are thus more active than southern Germans, who score 7.2. The most active German users of social media with a score of 8.4 are those in North Rhine-Westphalia. The least active users are to be found in Saxony-Anhalt, with an average score of 6.7 on the index.

There are also major differences between the various social networks. Twitter users, with an index score of 17.9, are by far the most active users and also the best educated, alongside users of Xing. Users of these networks are the most likely to hold the highest-level German school qualification (the Abitur). Xing users also make attractive potential customers, as they have the highest monthly net salary of EUR 2,000-3,000, higher than users of other networks.

The intensive usage of social media is also of interest to German companies for advertising purposes. On average, social media now influences 7.6% of purchase decisions, almost as much as TV advertising (7.8%), outdoor advertising (7.4%) and traditional mass mailings (7.9%). Radio advertising (accounting for 5.6%) has already been overtaken by social networks.

Companies are neglecting the social media trend in their advertising strategies

However, the trend toward social media seems to have been ignored by the German advertising industry so far. “If you combine traditional websites and social media, these channels together account for almost a quarter (22%) of purchase decisions,” says the study’s director, Jonas vor dem Esche. “But in 2012, companies spent just under 12% of their advertising budget on online advertising.” In comparison, TV and print advertising influenced 16% of Germans’ purchase decisions, but companies invested a whopping 82% of their advertising budget on this. “Although advertising spending does not need to reflect the influence of different media on the purchase decision on an exactly one-to-one basis, these figures ought to lead to a review of current budget distribution,” advises Roland Berger expert Egbert Wege.

This analysis of Germans’ media usage habits produced another fascinating result: “Our study shows a new generation of highly savvy media consumers,” says Hennig-Thurau. Traditional consumers make their purchase decisions on the basis of a small number of information sources. These include friends’ recommendations, information from traditional websites or in-store advice. Consumers who are heavy users of social media rely more on information from many sources. “In the future, companies will have to send clearly coordinated messages via a multitude of channels,” says Hennig-Thurau. By contrast, recommendations from friends or store salespeople will become less important in the future.

 

Source: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH,       http://www.internationaltradenews.com/